So far, so good! The system had a winning week again, going 6-4 on the top 10 sells and 6-4 on the top 10 buys with a couple of upsets in between by the Bears, Jets and Browns. The system is so far 34-25 on top 10 sells and 39-21 on top 10 buys. You can clearly see the trend for the Miami Dolphins, which I expect to keep sliding down as they deal with drama surrounding their organization. They are a good example of a team you should have sold in week 3, because if you’d have held on, your stock would have lost half its value by now. Here is the board for this week:
|Team||Share Price||Change||Week 9 Outlook|
|Green Bay Packers||77.42||-18.64||+15.27|
|Kansas City Chiefs||104.00||-00.22||Bye|
|New England Patriots||91.75||+08.83||Bye|
|New Orleans Saints||96.11||-04.93||+15.45|
|New York Giants||37.81||+05.00||+13.49|
|New York Jets||52.77||+10.01||Bye|
|San Diego Chargers||72.84||-02.32||-4.60|
|San Francisco 49ers||96.76||-01.22||+14.06|
|St. Louis Rams||50.56||-04.73||-44.21|
|Tampa Bay Buccaneers||37.61||+06.04||-14.14|
Miami Dolphins -12.88 Baltimore Ravens -3.71
Sell the Miami Dolphins. Now. This whole Richie Incognito - Jonathan Martin saga is going to overshadow what had been a decent start for the Dolphins. Those two guys constituted 40% of the Dolphins starting offensive line and they are now gone. The Ravens have a tough schedule coming up and I don’t think they can make the playoffs this year with the 1 & 5 seed going to be locked up by the Chiefs or Broncos. They are the classic case of Super Bowl hangover.
New Orleans Saints -4.93 Green Bay Packers -1.96
The Saints are coming off a tough loss to a team they were supposed to demolish in the Jets. They have a very difficult schedule coming up with the next 3 games between the Cowboys, 49ers and the Seahawks, and Carolina twice. I still think they are one of the class of the NFC and will be in the playoffs as the division leader, if Carolina doesn’t steal the division. The Packers looked terrible with Seneca Wallace at the helm vs. the Bears, who had their own 2nd stringer in the game. Aaron Rodgers is the heart and soul of the team, so I anticipate them losing at least 3 out of the 4 while Rodgers is gone, and hopefully the Lions don’t run away with the division by that time, the Packers can rally over the last few weeks to a division title.
New York Giants +5.00 Houston Texans +3.28
Week 9 Strong Buys
New Orleans Saints +15.45
San Francisco 49ers +14.06
Week 9 Strong Sells
San Diego Chargers -4.60
The Chargers are a hard team to put a mark on because they are always in games and somehow always lose at the end. They face the Broncos at home, who have cooled down since their hot start in the first quarter of the year. I think that the strength of the Chargers is their run defense, but their pass defense has always been somewhat suspect, coming in ranked 28th in the league. I expect QB Peyton Manning to have a feast in what could be a high scoring affair as both of these defenses are not great, but the pressure of playing against Manning will get to the Chargers.
St. Louis Rams -44.21