The system got hammered last week as we saw 3 teams emerge from the basement of the league in victory, in Minnesota, St. Louis, Tampa and Jacksonville. That’s why they play the games, folks. Anything can happen on any given Sunday, despite what the street says. The system did another mirror, even though different teams were involved, going 4-6 on top buys and top sells, for a season record of 38-31 on top 10 sells and 43-27 on top 10 buys. You may ask why KC, who is undefeated has only the 3rd highest share price. It’s because even though the Chiefs win, and that’s the highest weight in the formula, it’s diluted by the number of games. In the other criteria in the formula, the Chiefs have been lacking, so the formula puts the Broncos and Seahawks ahead of them, despite having 1 more loss respectively. Here is the board for this week:
|Team||Share Price||Change||Week 11 Outlook|
|Green Bay Packers||70.41||-07.01||+22.63|
|Kansas City Chiefs||103.55||-00.45||+02.84|
|New England Patriots||91.05||-00.70||-05.12|
|New Orleans Saints||102.59||+06.48||+11.70|
|New York Giants||47.78||+09.97||-07.63|
|New York Jets||55.22||+02.45||+16.15|
|San Diego Chargers||69.46||-03.38||+18.33|
|San Francisco 49ers||95.89||-00.87||-06.70|
|St. Louis Rams||62.24||+11.68||Bye|
|Tampa Bay Buccaneers||39.14||+01.53||-00.45|
Washington Redskins -1.96 San Diego Chargers -3.38
I’m sorry to say, you won’t see any RGIII magic that we saw last year. The Redskins’ had their chances to come out of this division, which will likely be won by a .500 or less team, but they blew it in losing to the awful Minnesota Vikings last week on Thursday night. They are victims of a tough schedule and it gets tougher with 2 dates with the streaking Giants, undefeated Kansas City and the 49ers, who are racing for that 5 seed, left on the schedule. The Chargers have the opposite problem of the Redskins. Their division is so good that it is going to be impossible to secure anything other than the 6 seed. The Chargers seem to have a knack for losing games when it’s all on the line, so I see the same scenario playing out in their quest for the wild card..
Chicago Bears -0.47 Indianapolis Colts -14.06
I have somewhat given up on the Colts. After beating the top two teams in the league in Denver and Seattle, they get inexplicably drubbed by the Rams… the Rams! At home, no less. The week before, they had to come from behind to beat the lowly Texans. Everyone, myself included bought into the hype, but now it’s seeming as if this team will win the division, but will not get anywhere in the playoffs unless they start playing better. They seem to get up for the difficult teams, which is good, but they may likely get knocked out in the wild card round if they’re not careful. The Bears suddenly have a legitimate backup in Josh McCown, who has looked decent playing in Jay Cutler’s stead. I think if McCown plays well, they can find themself in contention for a wild card, because the Lions are going to run away with the division.
New England Patriots +0.70 Pittsburgh Steelers +1.99
With the advent of the cold, these two teams always turn it on late and play great in cold weather games. While the Steelers probably will not make the playoffs due to the giant hole they’ve dug themselves, this is a team that will want to play spoiler in their division. The Patriots seemingly have their divison locked up with a very, very manageable schedule the rest of the way. Now would be the time to buy the Patriots, because they may steal away home field advantage while Kansas City and Denver duke it out for their division crown.