The system bounced back this week, going 7-3 both ways for a season record of 45-34 on top 10 sells and 50-30 on top 10 buys. The system favors the strong, as it seems as the trend is that teams that are supposed to win, on a hot streak, and at home, do win at a 62% clip. Now is the time to buy, as some teams are at all time lows, and others are trying to make a playoff push, playing other teams who have mailed it in and are looking forward to next season. Here is the board for this week:
|Team||Share Price||Change||Week 11 Outlook|
|Green Bay Packers||68.50||-01.91||+36.30|
|Kansas City Chiefs||100.66||-02.90||+40.74|
|New England Patriots||92.91||+01.85||-14.53|
|New Orleans Saints||102.69||+00.10||+73.66|
|New York Giants||54.80||+07.02||-08.24|
|New York Jets||50.37||-04.84||-12.42|
|San Diego Chargers||64.92||-04.54||-35.74|
|San Francisco 49ers||94.24||-01.65||+50.60|
|St. Louis Rams||59.49||-02.75||-10.47|
|Tampa Bay Buccaneers||43.15||+04.01||-25.15|
Kansas City Chiefs -2.90 Atlanta Falcons -4.66
The Chiefs finally took their first loss this year, and while they will make the playoffs, judging from their performance in Denver last Sunday, I think they will be going in as the 5 seed, as the Broncos will likely win their next matchup again next week. In this unique AFC conference this year, the 5 seed will likely be many games ahead of the 6th seed. So you will likely see KC rest some starters in Week 17 and maybe even 16. Sell now and reap the dividends while their price is still high. The Falcons have clearly mailed it in for this season. It’s such a shame for a team with such offensive firepower, but they could not overcome their injuries. They were 10-1 at this point last year, so I guess they will be looking forward to next season when everyone’s healthy.
Philadelphia Eagles -0.03 Seattle Seahawks +0.10
The Eagles are in the lead for their division right now, and usually turn it on for the last quarter of the season, but I’m not really sure they can run away with the division with the Giants fast approaching. Hold for now to see what happens, as they have the Cardinals, Lions and Bears still left on the schedule. The Seahawks may find themselves in the same situation as the Chiefs. They are 3 games ahead of the 3rd seed, Carolina. Depending on what happens with their big, big game with the Saints next week and the Saints 2 games against the Panthers left, they may also rest at the end of the season.
Cincinnatti Bengals +1.56 Green Bay Packers -1.91
I have seen no indication from the Ravens that they will sneak in and steal this division, so I think the Bengals will be jockeying for the coveted 2nd seed and first round bye with the Colts and Patriots. Buy the Bengals now as they have a very favorable schedule the rest of the way and I wouldn’t be surprised if they steal that spot away from the Patriots at the end. Buy the Packers now at their season low price, with Aaron Rodgers on the verge of return. Only a game back of the division leader, they are still in contention for the division and I think they may make a run here to at least be in the conversation for a wild card, where there currently are a log jam of teams.